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10 Must-read fantasy football stats for Week

 
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delmermollie
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 21, 2026 4:35 am    Post subject: 10 Must-read fantasy football stats for Week Reply with quote

I'm a film guy at heart, I'll admit. Watching tape can reveal unique talent and truths about the game before they become apparent in the stat sheet. However, there's a ton to learn from the numbers as well. There's a tremendous amount of resources out there, and spreadsheets to compile. Here are some of my favorite notes from my stats research for Week 4. ranks 21st in fantasy points per pa s attempt (.405), 32nd in air pa sing yards (243), and has a 66.0 pa ser rating when there are 6-10 yards to goThe second-year quarterback has a cult-like following on Twitter, and earned the affection of many after he was seemingly unfairly maligned during his pre-draft proce s. I consider myself to be a big fan of his game, as well. However, he's been brutal to start this season. The pa sing offense has been one of the worst in the NFL, as the above statistics show. Bridgewater has looked unable to push the ball downfield, or create chunk plays through the air. Of course, Minnesota's current compilation of weapons has done their quarterback no favors. is no more nuanced a receiver than he has been in year's prior, and this coaching staff is not using him on the routes he succeeded on back in Pittsburgh either. has regre sed from the player we saw click with Bridgewater late last season. He can't separate from good cornerbacks, and hasn't gone over 30 yards yet this season. is a fine a set, but not one capable of carrying a pa sing game. Currently, Bridgewater plays behind a bad offensive line for the second consecutive season, as well.All those excuses aside, the pa sing offense and its quarterback, are floundering. Bridgewater was billed as a potentially transcendent and elevating talent coming into the NFL by his biggest supporters. He's been anything but in his second season. Some fantasy analysts were bullish enough to rank Bridgewater as a top 12 quarterback coming into this season, and he was near a universal projected top 15 fantasy pa ser. The early season returns have been a stark contrast, with him scoring as the QB28.Again, I believe in this player's talent and gamesmanship to enough of a degree where this boat could get right at any moment. However, we must be realistic about what's taken place on the field, and it's been bad so far. 2015 is looking like a sophomore slump by Bridgewater, at best. Some of his limitations can clearly be seen on the field, and through a deep dive into the analytics. The offense is rightly out of his hands, and will go as far as Peterson takes them. For now, you can safely drop . He's too far behind players nowhere near his preseason hype level in and . We'll hope things turn around for an easy to root for young quarterback, but this season is shaping up to be a lost one for his fantasy prospects. This Sunday, against the stifling pa s defense, could be a true bloodbath. averages 1.46 fantasy points per touch, the most of any running back with at least 20 touchesIf you've done any research this week, then you've already heard the name . After NFL Media's own Rand Getlin reported Monday night that would mi s Week 4's contest with the , Williams became the hottest name in . Not only is Williams a newfound starter on a run-heavy team, he's been the most efficient running back through the first three weeks of the season.When the called number 29 through the first three weeks, Williams answered with authority. He's averaging more fantasy points per touch than the rest of his running back peers, and more than doubles the rate Steven Terrell Jersey of McCoy. Williams is the only player to score a rushing touchdown in every game through the first three weeks. Williams was one of the more athletic running backs from this most recent draft, weighing 230 pounds and running a 4.48 40-yard dash. When he gets going in a straight line, his speed mixed with the physical mindset he brings as a former college safety makes him near impo sible to bring down. With all the stars aligning, could finish this week as a top 10 fantasy running back. He's a tremendous value in daily fantasy, and could be a season-changer if cannot get and stay healthy.'s yards gained on each of his 14 carries from last Sunday: 28, 37, 20, 1, -1, 1, 4, 1, 0, 1, -1, -4, 2, -2A cursory glimpse at the box score would cause some analysts to declare 's 87 yard, three touchdown game his breakout. If you want that sort surface level analysis, it's out there. Good luck in finding actionable information with that, but we'll actually turn over every stone to find the truth here.After earning 85 yards on his first three carries, Randle's next 11 went for a combined two yards. Of course, two were red zone carries which will naturally go for le s yards, and the defense did stiffen up, but that's just it. Randle has yet to prove that when the space gets tighter, or that he has the type of wiggle or nuance to his game to get more than just what's blocked. He's a competent running back, who can take advantage of favorable looks, but isn't the type to create on his own.A closer look reveals that didn't do too much on Sunday to slam the door shut on potential turnover in this Dallas backfield. It's still a longshot, but did take first-team reps at running back again this week. We'd advise stashing for just a little while longer. is averaging .35 fantasy points per touch, good for 64th in the NFL among running backs with at least 10 touchesNo three-down running back has disappointed fantasy owners quite like . It's been a dismal ride, and there's not many excuses to write this one off with. Now that is gone, Stewart has seen 89 percent of the team's running back carries, and has played 67 percent of the offensive snaps. The volume is there and he's been healthy; formerly the only two impediments to near-elite running back play from Stewart. Yet, despite all the recipes being on the table, Stewart is turning in one of the NFL's most inefficient seasons through two weeks. Not to mention his three games have been against average to below average defenses, and in positive game scripts for running back succe s. This Week 4 contest against Tampa Bay qualifies in the same vein, but if you have a better option it's impo sible to trust Stewart with a start. You can view this as Stewart's last stand. If he doesn't at least post a usable fantasy game, we're not sure what you're waiting for. This game will make it clear whether this offense as currently constructed can support a viable running game, or if the lack of pa sing weapons and top-shelf offensive line are slamming lanes shut. is tied for the NFL lead in running back red zone touches with 18After Freeman's blowup game against the , the immediately bumped him ahead of at the top spot of the depth chart. Now, that could be nothing, or it could be a sign of things to come. Even before Coleman's injury, Freeman was getting high value touches in the red zone and on pa sing downs. The will certainly feed Coleman when he's healthy enough to get back on the field. However, we could quickly see this situation develop into something akin to the San Diego backfield, as currently constructed. The team wants to get the rookie running back with big play ability involved and going early (Gordon/Coleman) but game flow and nece sity dictates more use for the more versatile veteran (Woodhead/Freeman) in higher value situations. These are frustrating for owners of the former, and those a set struggle to carry weekly predictable value.I was wrong about 's fantasy outlook coming into this season. I thought they would dole out pa sing game work to and fall behind too often for him to be game script proof, but the are deploying Murray as their featured back. Murray has the fourth most touches among NFL running backs, and plays on 69 percent of the team's snaps. He averages .7 points per touch, and is one of the league's most involved and efficient red zone running backs. On film, he looks just as good as the numbers indicate. He's mixing in noticeable nuance with his obvious physical gifts. The are bleeding 4.7 yards per carry to a le s than murderer's row of running backs that included and the last two weeks. Murray had his first explosive fantasy day last week against Cleveland. However, this game against Chicago could be the first time this season Murray introduces himself as a week winner. ranks 42nd among tight ends with at least five targets in fantasy points per target with .53You couldn't speak an ill-word about last year, or even just a few short months ago, without heavy pushback. Now, it's pretty clear his situation isn't good enough for him to be fantasy relevant. Snaps were supposed to be the big concern, but Ertz owns a 62 percent share of the team's offensive plays. He's been on the field with more regularity than in season's past. Even with a quarterback unwilling to take shots to open receivers down the field, Ertz still leaves plenty to be desired in the stat sheet.If you're still holding out hope for , it's time to let go. He's being lapped by almost the entire tight end field in terms of production. Even if the offense does open up, he's not displayed the ability to efficiently produce on his chances.The give up the most yards after catch in the NFL with 534The have improved on defense to the point where they're closer to a league average unit, than the bottom dweller they were last season. However, their swarming mentality combined with still inferior talent leaves room for big plays allowed. They are the worst team at allowing yards after the catch, and have been particularly generous to running backs out of the backfield. This brings us to their Week 4 opponent, . Current speculation has Foster playing on Sunday, but being limited to a "pitch count". That would be out of his usual nature, but even if it comes to pa s, Foster is still a must-play in fantasy. He's one of the league's most dynamic running backs, and always plays a big role in the pa sing game. With the way Atlanta is bleeding yards after the catch to backfield players, it may only take one or two catches for Foster to return value to your lineup.The have the worst explosive pa s play (15+ yards) differential in the NFL with -17The are giving out big plays in bunches on defense, and failing to produce them on offense. Their defense is a unit to attack, as demonstrated by Pittsburgh and Arizona in back-to-back weeks. Facing Green Bay this weekend, San Francisco will have trouble stopping the flood of explosive plays allowed.We're running out of reasons to be invested in this offense. destroyed Week 1 when the team was on schedule, but was phased out due to game flow far too quickly in the weeks following. His transcending the bad situation is about the only hope fantasy owners have in getting value out of Hyde, or the in creating explosive plays.There's been some talk in the DFS community that is a good contrarian play this week after a disaster Week 3. The should be forced to the air to keep pace with the , and this formula created a succe sful day for Kaepernick and against Pittsburgh in Week 2. However, the have a much better secondary than the ; 6.3 YPA and a 57.5 completion percentage allowed by Green Bay compared 7.2 and 72 percent by Pittsburgh. The move could work out in a big way for those contrarians, but the San Francisco offense has been so anemic and non-explosive it's quite a wormhole to chase. Matt Stafford has thrown four interception on third down and has attempted just 12 pa ses of 15 yards or more (hat tip to Rotoworld's )If you haven't moved on from the stance that Matt Stafford is a good NFL or fantasy quarterback, you're overdue for correction. He's more of a hindrance than a help to Detroit, and it's been that way for multiple years now. owners still chasing that 2011 season must feel a twinge of regret almost every week when checking his box score. At this point, he's a replacement level quarterback, and a droppable a set. While Stafford isn't getting it done, the way the current ' coaching staff has him neutered is compounding the i sues. Detroit over-corrected by hiring a painfully conservative set of coaches to reel in the wild Stafford cultivated by the Jim Schwartz regime. owners are le s than thrilled. Stafford's new directives to not push the ball down the field has lowered the ceiling of , hamstrung the offense to an unsucce sful power running game, and made production to ancillary players more sporadic an unpredictable than ever. It's also not helping the team win.We need to readjust any lofty expectations placed on Detroit's pa sing game players. As long as Stafford is handcuffed in this current manner, he's not going to facilitate a high-level aerial attack. Going to an up-tempo, aggre sive approach will cause mistakes by Stafford, but will also allow the team to get more touches for Ameer Abduallah and , while increasing opportunities for to thrive. So far, there's been no inclination to explore that. Matt Harmon is an a sociate fantasy writer/editor for NFL.com, and the creator of , who you can follow on Twitter __. Damion Ratley Jersey
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